“You start at 0 and stop at +3 or -1 on a fair coin walk. Probability of stopping at +3, and expected flips?”
What they test. Random walks, absorption probabilities, martingales
Strong answer. Linear absorption gives P(reach +3 from 0) = (0+1)/(3+1) = 1/4 = 25%; solving the expected-steps recursion E(x) = -x^2 + 2x + 3 gives E(0) = 3 flips.